On July 3, 2025, a TV monitor shows an earthquake off the coast of the Tokara Islands in Japan. The epicenter was 20 kilometers deep, and the size of the earthquake was estimated at 5.5. Credit – Yomiuri Shimbun about AP pictures
EArthquakes cannot be predicted. Scientists agree that precise predictions of time, place and size are not possible with current technologies.
A year-old Japanese manga that claims a “megaque” that is over a size of 8.0 on the RichterSkala-Werd on July 5 in the past few months and deteriorated some incoming travelers.
The reprint of 2021 by The future I have seen by Ryo Tatsuki, a retirement Manka In her 70s it warns that a “huge” tsunami “will wash three times as big as the Great East Japan -Erdbieben 2011 over countries in the Pacific. The first edition of the manga published in 1999 had referred to a” big disaster “in March 2011, which fell with the earthquake, in which more than 18,000 people killed and the catastrophe of Fukushima Daiichi Core power plant had managed.
Last month, Tatsuki seemed to scale her prediction on a megaquake on July 5 and told the national newspaper Sankei that it might not have happened. But she completely had her warning back. Time has turned to Tatsuki to get a comment.
The reprint of 2021 has sold more than 1 million copies in Japan, and social media content that triggered millions of views fear the scientifically unfounded fears.
In the past few weeks, two airlines based in Hong Kong have reduced flights to South Japan due to the lower passenger interest. “We are surprised that such rumors have led to cancellations,” said the Tokushima Tourism Promotion Division.
The Japanese government has warned of earthquake speculation. In April it published an explanation that “earthquakes are difficult by specifying the date, time and current scientific knowledge”. Last month, the General Director of the Japan Meteorological Agency Ryoichi Nomura said in a press conference that it was “regrettable that people in this age of modern science are affected by unfounded information”.
Due to his position in the Pacific fire ring, Japan has long been a breeding ground of seismic activity. In August, JMA gave an indication that “the probability of a new main actor is higher than normal” in relation to the Nankai trough, a 560 mi. Oceanian ditch to Japan’s south. Earthquakes from the Nankai trough are how geologists Kyle Bradley and Judith A. Hubbard put it: “The original definition of the” big “.
At the beginning of this year, a government committee published a report in which a megaque along the Nankai trough has a chance of 80% over the next 30 years. After the worst-case scenario, up to 298,000 people were able to die, the report added.
Japan experiences about 1,500 earthquakes per year, almost a fifth of the global total. The country has spent decades to create earthquake plans.
In view of the history and frequency of earthquakes in Japan, concern is understandable. But Jmas Nomura has not pushed the public to take irrational actions that are driven by anxiety “.
JMA is still a reliable source of information about earthquakes in Japan, as well as the US Geological Survey (USGS), the British Geological Survey (BGS) and the European Seismological Center (EMSC) in their respective regions.
Callum Sutherland contributed the reporting from London.
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